July 31 MLB Card: Making Sense of it All

20% of the league is on pause due to COVID, Joe Kelly is facing an 8 game suspension for not hitting anyone, the Nationals played an away game at Nationals park, the NBA is playing an AAU tournament, and my neighbor watered his plants ass naked this morning because why the hell not. Nothing makes sense anymore, including my 8-4-1 record on the year, so let's shake things up with two games and four picks.

Red Sox @ Yankees

Both pitchers in this one, Montgomery for the Yanks and Weber for the Sox, got rocked their last time out, and both offenses seem to have woken up as of late, combining for 27 runs in their past two games. I have confidence Montgomery can get things under control given his history and the advanced stats of his first start, but much less confidence in Weber who faces a tougher line-up than last time out and the Yankee bats are hot.

The Pick: Yankees -1.5 @ -100

AND OVER 10.5 @ -105

Reds @ Tigers

I mentioned Castillo last time he started, and he went 6 innings giving up one run against the Tigers, so I'm taking him again. The Tigers are throwing Turnbull, who also had a decent outing giving up one run over 5 innings in the same game. I don't expect much to go different this time, and although it's early, the Reds need to start racking up wins in their division race.

The Pick: First 5 Innings UNDER 4.5 @ -120

AND Reds ML @ -160